So do I think a fourteen year old could have pulled it off? I sure think so, but I realize in 2009 it would have taken a very tenacious fourteen year old. But that was 2009. If you’re skeptic about my prediction for the past, how about applying them to today or 2015? How long till the technology that, at the time, precipitated the fastest wealth generation humanity had ever seen, can be replicated by a teenager with next to no budget during summer break? How long till it’s something you write as a pet project while learning to program. Our tools are still getting more powerful, and our collective understanding of software problems is still increasing at a rapid pace. Do you think there’s an upper ceiling for how good we can get at writing software? Are we close?
A 14-year-old could build 1998’s Google using her Dad’s credit card!